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Low carbon society scenarios towards 2050

Low carbon society scenarios towards 2050 aim to provide countries in Asia with policy options to achieve low carbon societies in 2050, as well as methodologies for implementing them.

The scenarios are part of the research project to establish a methodology to evaluate mid to long term environmental policy options toward Asian low carbon societies (S-6 research project), to develop comprehensive methodologies to design, calculate and evaluate the mid to long term policy options towards low carbon societies (LCSs) in Asia, which integrate robust scientific knowledge, and are sensitive to the multi-faced needs and values of each Asian country. The project also aims to formulate policy roadmaps and disseminate these for implementation.

The S-6 research project aims to identify feasible and robust development pathways over the medium to long-term for the realization of a low-carbon society in Asian countries, at both the national and sub-national levels. It examines these pathways from five perspectives:

  1. Integrated research on scenario development towards the realization of LCSs in Asia
  2. Fundamental analytical research exploring the possibility of developing LCSs in Asia and how to evaluate progress
  3. Research into the medium to long-term international and domestic institutional design options and their formative processes
  4. Research to limit GHG emissions from the resource consumption associated with economic growth; and
  5. Research into concrete measures to establish a low-carbon transport system in Asia.

In undertaking this research, the S-6 research project firstly summaries the knowledge of Asian development scenarios and emission reduction targets. Secondly, it develops and shares predicative scenarios, presenting an image of the future based on the shared predicative scenarios. In addition, it suggests the institutional arrangements, and resource circulation and low-carbon transport policies, which are necessary for the realization of the low carbon scenarios, and analyses the feasibility of their implementation. Thirdly, it translates these outcomes into the parameters for integrated models, and performs quantitative analysis, confirming the consistency between categories. Finally, it develops and suggests the policy options which encourage Asian countries to create low carbon societies from multilateral perspectives and the roadmaps to realize such societies.

See the Low carbon society scenarios towards 2050.